How Much Do I Need to Retire? Savings Target Calculator (2026)

Calculate your retirement number using the 25x rule. See how income, spending, age, and withdrawal rate affect your target. Free retirement calculator included.

๐Ÿ“Š The Short Answer

The standard rule is 25x your annual expenses. If you need $60,000/year in retirement, you need $1.5 million. For $40,000/year: $1 million. For $80,000/year: $2 million. This assumes a 4% withdrawal rate and a 30-year retirement. For early retirement (40+ years), use 30-33x expenses (3-3.3% withdrawal rate). Subtract any pension or Social Security from your annual need before multiplying.

Key Numbers

$1,000,000

Retirement Target at $40k/year spending

25 ร— $40,000. At 4% withdrawal, you can spend $40,000/year inflation-adjusted with ~95% success over 30 years.

$1,500,000

Retirement Target at $60k/year

25 ร— $60,000. This is the most common target for middle-income retirees with a paid-off home.

$2,000,000

Retirement Target at $80k/year

25 ร— $80,000. Comfortable retirement with travel and hobbies.

$2,000,000 for $60k/year

Early Retirement at 50 (40-year horizon)

Use 33x rule (3% withdrawal) for longer retirements. 33 ร— $60,000 = $1,980,000.

Reduce target by $600,000

With Social Security ($2,000/month at 67)

If Social Security covers $24,000/year, your portfolio only needs to generate $36,000. Target drops from $1.5M to $900k.

Retirement Savings Target by Annual Spending

Annual Spending25x Target (30yr)33x Target (40yr+)Monthly Withdrawal (4%)
$30,000$750,000$990,000$2,500
$40,000$1,000,000$1,320,000$3,333
$50,000$1,250,000$1,650,000$4,167
$60,000$1,500,000$1,980,000$5,000
$80,000$2,000,000$2,640,000$6,667
$100,000$2,500,000$3,300,000$8,333

Assumptions

  • 4% safe withdrawal rate (Trinity Study)
  • Retirement spending: 70-80% of pre-retirement income
  • Inflation: 2.5% annually (withdrawals adjust up each year)
  • Portfolio: 60% stocks / 40% bonds
  • 30-year retirement (age 65-95)
  • Paid-off home by retirement
  • Social Security at full retirement age (67)

How We Calculated This

The 25x rule comes from the 4% rule: if you withdraw 4% of your portfolio in year 1 ($40,000 from $1M), adjusted for inflation annually, your portfolio has a 95%+ chance of lasting 30 years. To find your number: Annual Expenses ร— 25 = Target. For early retirement (40+ years), use 30-33x. Subtract guaranteed income (Social Security, pension) before calculating.

Alternative Paths

Coast FIRE: Save Early, Let Compound Interest Do the Rest

Outcome: If you save $200,000 by age 35, it grows to $1.5 million by 65 at 7% return โ€” with no additional contributions. You can 'coast' at a lower-paying but more enjoyable job.

Pros

  • Financial independence decades early
  • Career flexibility
  • Compound interest does the heavy lifting

Cons

  • Requires aggressive saving in your 20s/30s
  • Market returns aren't guaranteed

Downsize in Retirement

Outcome: Selling a $500,000 home and buying a $250,000 condo frees $250,000 in equity. That adds $10,000/year at 4% withdrawal โ€” reducing your required portfolio by $250,000.

Pros

  • Immediate cash infusion
  • Lower ongoing housing costs
  • Less maintenance

Cons

  • Emotional attachment to family home
  • Moving costs and stress

Risks & Tradeoffs

  • Longevity risk: living past 95 means your money must last 35+ years โ€” the 4% rule was tested for 30 years
  • Healthcare costs: Fidelity estimates a 65-year-old couple needs $315,000 for healthcare in retirement โ€” not included in basic spending estimates
  • Sequence of returns: a market crash in years 1-5 of retirement can permanently damage your portfolio
  • Inflation: at 3% inflation, $60,000 loses half its purchasing power in 24 years
  • Social Security uncertainty: benefits may be reduced to ~77% of promised levels after 2035 if the trust fund is depleted

๐Ÿ’ก What This Means For You

The 25x rule gives you a solid target, but it's a starting point, not a guarantee. Track your actual spending for 1-2 years before retiring โ€” most people underestimate. Build in buffers for healthcare ($5,000-10,000/year), long-term care, and travel. If you're retiring before 60, use 30-33x expenses. The single biggest variable you control is your spending โ€” reducing annual expenses by $10,000 reduces your required portfolio by $250,000.

Your Next Steps

  1. Track your actual annual expenses for at least 12 months
  2. Get your Social Security statement at ssa.gov to see your projected benefit
  3. Use the 25x rule for a quick target, then refine with our Retirement Calculator
  4. If you're behind, increase savings rate by 1-2% every 6 months
  5. Review your target annually โ€” your spending, goals, and market conditions change

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the 4% rule still valid?

The 4% rule, from the 1998 Trinity Study, has held up well historically. In 95% of 30-year periods, a 60/40 portfolio survived 4% withdrawals. For longer retirements (40+ years), 3-3.5% is more appropriate. Some experts argue for 3.5% even for 30 years given current high valuations.

What if I have a pension?

Subtract your annual pension from your annual spending need, then multiply the remainder by 25. Example: need $60k/year, pension provides $20k, gap is $40k ร— 25 = $1M target. Pensions dramatically reduce the savings requirement.

Does my retirement number include my home equity?

Generally no. The 25x rule applies to liquid investments (401k, IRA, brokerage). Your home equity provides housing but not income unless you downsize or use a reverse mortgage. Count it as a safety net, not retirement income.

How do I adjust for inflation?

The 4% rule already adjusts for inflation: you withdraw 4% in year 1, then increase that dollar amount by inflation each year. If you start with $40,000 and inflation is 3%, year 2 withdrawal is $41,200, year 3 is $42,436, etc.

Important Disclaimer โ€” Not Financial Advice

The results from this calculator are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not a guarantee of actual outcomes and should not be considered financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional for advice tailored to your specific financial situation. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy for more information.

QM

Last reviewed by Qasem Mohammed โ€” May 31, 2026

AI & Software Engineer, Founder & Lead Developer at QFINHUB ยท Editorial Policy